Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1119.999053 1287.662026 1480.390635 1720.257866 2013.504763 2363.897834 2.819673e+03
2024-12-22 873.908533 1081.128619 1344.127565 1709.659908 2216.585157 2913.933850 3.981901e+03
2024-12-29 760.902039 983.651210 1284.042414 1732.041309 2407.977900 3434.900326 5.213072e+03
2025-01-05 657.652821 877.726372 1188.048054 1676.200697 2462.855545 3758.378743 6.249846e+03
2025-01-12 583.209053 798.779152 1114.082055 1632.754396 2517.363883 4082.620327 7.401642e+03
2025-01-19 522.926407 731.700568 1046.530035 1584.483482 2548.342980 4366.981218 8.591115e+03
2025-01-26 500.050053 717.061905 1056.078939 1661.894709 2813.843646 5168.153236 1.132515e+04
2025-02-02 474.531411 694.851101 1049.660737 1709.096815 3031.805526 5943.207204 1.449242e+04
2025-02-09 452.608624 675.636465 1045.090089 1757.688311 3262.685379 6829.341932 1.865598e+04
2025-02-16 424.630894 643.510617 1014.261737 1750.927530 3373.726695 7466.098489 2.257413e+04
2025-02-23 409.177598 630.738005 1015.648208 1807.076123 3638.980392 8619.065307 2.969985e+04
2025-03-02 390.152355 609.962666 999.987919 1825.513651 3819.778620 9615.927931 3.752540e+04
2025-03-09 367.162307 582.084714 971.534162 1820.252617 3962.413906 10643.512613 4.780480e+04
2025-03-16 342.525784 549.500547 931.341365 1784.742752 4023.407287 11465.791290 5.901656e+04
2025-03-23 327.774969 533.323447 920.789849 1813.719608 4270.522975 13130.988085 8.155538e+04
2025-03-30 305.392847 501.182297 875.128632 1753.326818 4242.856835 13704.729230 9.696793e+04
2025-04-06 286.641242 474.424386 837.797175 1707.494908 4248.951989 14449.518347 1.181024e+05
2025-04-13 269.138660 448.782864 800.421499 1656.283260 4226.333572 15070.164814 1.418019e+05
2025-04-20 264.856163 448.116746 815.025241 1738.353819 4667.925737 18388.329595 2.394718e+05
2025-04-27 258.028642 441.900183 817.079037 1788.422100 5021.522549 21666.564162 3.958126e+05
2025-05-04 251.689803 436.128181 819.456108 1839.993617 5403.962030 25658.532095 7.066578e+05
2025-05-11 241.550805 421.962274 801.741606 1832.816579 5559.086367 28341.712173 1.109755e+06
2025-05-18 236.628104 418.070490 806.938300 1892.436534 6014.477032 34138.932318 2.519505e+06